chris: (kittens)
Chris ([personal profile] chris) wrote 2025-01-13 09:37 pm (UTC)

Meow. It's half past cat, for we are (sufficiently) precisely half-way through the ten-year cycle of this particular game of Currency Cat. The players must change ends for half-time, let's rotate the board, that's Numbercat, etc.

Dom selected

89.52 CNY
115.5 NOK
10.00 GBP

Phil selected

15020 KRW
0.001600 BTC
0.008387 XAU

At currency tables at the current time of writing (and a spot value from CoinDesk) these are worth

89.52 CNY -> 10.02 GBP
115.5 NOK -> 8.28 GBP
10.00 GBP -> 10.00 GBP
15020 KRW -> 8.40 GBP
0.001600 BTC -> 122.90 GBP
0.008387 XAU -> 18.33 GBP

Thus Dom's portfolio is worth a geometric mean of GBP 9.40 and Phil's portfolio is worth a geometric mean of GBP 26.65. I reckon that BTC needs to fall by a factor of 22.86 over the next five years for Phil to fall behind Dom. BTC is known to be volatile, you've seen stranger things than that happen, but probably not yet this year.

Perhaps the most impressive thing is how little CNY/GBP has changed over five years.

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